Athanasius Results

Exploratory computational philology results from the recovered Donker data, the branch-point p-adic experiments, and the current paper draft.

Current Signals

Small, high-signal numbers pulled from the generated CSV outputs.

Binary greedy p-adic

s=9, m=4

loss 0.0093; exact branch accuracy 0.8667

Multistate greedy p-adic

s=4, m=4

loss 0.0053; exact branch accuracy 0.9333

All-label bridged all-feature tree

41 witnesses, 219 features

best exact p-adic loss 0.1063; best logistic loss 0.0572

Direct all-feature core tree

8 witnesses, 139 features

best exact p-adic loss 0.286; best logistic loss 0.307

Nested Model Comparison

Outer folds are evaluation-only; model selection happens inside each training fold.

dataset labelmodel groupexact branch accuracymean padic losstarget absent folds
Binarynested_logistic0.50.04672
Binarynested_random_forest0.41670.052
Binarynested_decision_tree0.33330.162
Multistatenested_random_forest0.50.04672
Multistatenested_logistic0.50.11332
Multistatenested_decision_tree0.50.12672

All-Feature Donker Tree Targets

These rows compare exact p-adic branch recovery with logistic baselines on the larger recovered source matrices.

target tree labelwitnessesfeaturesbest exact modelbest exact mean padic lossbest logistic modelbest logistic mean padic loss
All-label bridged all-feature tree41219padic_exact_s3_k1000.1063opaque_logistic_l1_C10.0572
Direct all-feature core tree8139padic_exact_s2_k1000.286path_logistic_l2_C10.307

External Corpus Inputs

comp-tc-mark and CATENA matrices prepared for bounded row/feature-sampled tradeoff experiments.

datasetfamilyrowstarget rowsraw featuresone hot indicatorsmissing fractiontarget kind
catena_ephesianscatena267267120630010.5707full_matrix_average_linkage
catena_galatianscatena393393131433990.5446full_matrix_average_linkage
catena_romanscatena340340358987070.6468full_matrix_average_linkage
comp_tc_mark_stemma_backbonecomp_tc_mark2841841487900.379non_red_dot_forest_backbone

Featured Figures

The full gallery includes every generated PNG under outputs/figures.

Consensus Provenance Tree
Consensus Provenance Tree
Branchpoint Ensemble Loss Surface Heatmap
Branchpoint Ensemble Loss Surface Heatmap
Branchpoint Model Size Tradeoff
Branchpoint Model Size Tradeoff
Within Dataset Tradeoff Facets
Within Dataset Tradeoff Facets
External Corpus Tradeoff Facets
External Corpus Tradeoff Facets
Branchpoint Model Size Log Loss Regression
Branchpoint Model Size Log Loss Regression